[Vetgirig]

[ QUOTE ]

FOLD:

If you fold and don't play until the big blind <font color="red"> AND are still on the bubble, </font>

...
P.S. Please point out and ridicule if any of this math is wrong. Also I have made a lot of assumptions here pelase point out if unreasonable.

[/ QUOTE ]

You won't be on the bubble anymore since we have 271 players that will play hands. On average 1 in 220 will get AA and 1 in 220 get KK . Add to that all that get AK and QQ/JJ - many players will get hands they really want to play - and some of them will go bust.

So what you need to do is assign that a chance - say 98% we make the bubble and 2 % we get to BB without the bubble breaking.

So FOLD is like 2% we get $186 and 98% we get $472.

So total fold is like $470 which are way more that the $228
for playing the hand.

Recalculate and you will see that the only hand maybe playable are AA - and I am not even sure about that one...

Its a very easy fold to get ITM.