[cocarondelle]

Hi,

Just for the background:

I moved from 1/2 to 10/20 (I moved up limits like every month approximately, doing all of them, ie, 1/2, 2/4, 3/6, 5/10, and 10/20).

Since I play poker I had only one losing month, which has been the one when I tried to move up at 25/50.

I played like 80K hands at 25/50, and lost about 110k $.

I am definitely convinced that my play was not optimal, I took too many marginal spots, I got outplayed , I tilted probably 25% of it etc.

I went back to 10/20 for 5 months, where I still show a consistent +6PTBB/100.

I also know another player who play higher than me, and plays better than me, never tilts, and never had a losing month ever yet.He just carefully chooses when to play, when he feels good, and mistakes from him are pretty rare.(I saw maybe 2 since I know him....)

So, I guess it's pretty difficult to answer to your question, but I think that if you play really seriously, stay focused, without tilting, and you spend as much time working on your game as you spend playing (reading, reviewing HH, discussing with friends, sweating stronger players...) 100K hands downswings due to only "bad luck" are probably very unlikely.