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Old 08-20-2007, 02:51 AM
uminchu uminchu is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: missing value bets
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Default Re: 50NL tough spot with KK against LPP

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AQ is not very likely and in fact I would rule it out. A passive villain called two bets cold oop from the blinds, this should narrow his range down significantly.

Now yes, I know villain sucks, and likely goes goofy [censored], however, we really can't include AQ in his range, consdiering his PF call and his flop call. After he calls the flop we can rule AQ out of his range, AQ has no draws on this flop and no reason to continue, he is much more likely to have a hand like KJs or QJs here then AQ.

His likely range is; 22, 99-QQ, A horribly played AA sometimes (trying to get cute), KJs, TJs, KQs and QJ.

Vs that range, we beat 4 of those hands - JJ, TJs, KQs and QJs.

I also think that TJs-KJs and KQs are on the outside of his range, and he is much more likely to have 22 or 99-QQ here.

I pay off the river, because our turn check could have induced him to fire w/ JJ or QJs or KQs here. However, I wouldn't expect to be good very often, and think a strong argument can be made for folding.

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i think that ATs must be included in this hand range fwiw
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