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Old 08-19-2007, 10:02 PM
jk3a jk3a is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: The 816, Holla
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Default Re: Semibluff 2nd Barrel in RR Pot

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I've yet to see a person at 200nl lay down a hand on the turn in a 3bet pot. He's always calling this.

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I feel like a crazy person reading these replies. He is not a known 2p2er. His calling range pf is prob. much wider than it should be. Please also note the bet size on the flop. He's almost certainly calling with any ten and QQ/JJ. You guys must have crazy images if no one is ever folding to your turn bet in these spots.

Obv. you guys think he is almost never folding, but if we have 15% equity against his calling range, he only has to fold like 36% of the time for us to break even.

I certainly don't feel like he is folding a king or better like ever, but I have no reason to believe that those hands make up enough of his range for this to not be +EV. Nor do I believe that he can/will really call with worse than a king.
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