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Old 08-19-2007, 09:35 AM
FortunaMaximus FortunaMaximus is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Golden Horseshoe
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Default Re: Interesting FT situation

I think it depends on how disclipined BS has been playing postflop. With those stack and blind sizes, I'd imagine you've seen him play enough postflop situations that you should have an accurate gauge on his tendencies. If not, well.

KJo is kind of a straw monster 4-handed. It's probably as strong in a vacuum as middle to highish pairs, not necessarily premium pairs, along with strong Axs/os holdings. IP and not reopening the action PF anyways.

However, this is largely dependent on Villain's postflop tendencies, so the value does vary depending on that.

From a pure vacuum $EV standpoint, this is likely a fold. However, if you think you can get him to stack off light on draws/second pair to your TPGK, I don't think a call is all that horrible. I wouldn't be eager to take that action, however, as it's marginal at best.

Raising is a spew if Villain is going to call the reraise anyway. You've invested a fairly large chunk of your stack, the flop pot size will mandate you make some decisions to commit on weakish draws, and there is scant room to float on flops to weaker situations than that after you've created an inflated pot preflop.

If you get 4-bet here, you're pretty much going to be behind a range that is now effectively polarized to the stronger part of his range. Which can't be all that weak UTG initially if he's looking to pick off one of the blinds.

Seems like a fairly standard fold in a vacuum situation.
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