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Old 08-19-2007, 08:49 AM
binions binions is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Toronto, CA
Posts: 2,070
Default Re: Running It Twice and Insurance

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What if you only got 1 out? If you run it thrice it's impossible to win.

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1 out has 1/44 equity (2.27%) with 1 to come running it once.

Twice, it has 0.5 * 1/44 + 0.5 * (43/44 * 1/43 + 1/44 * 0/43) = 2.27%

Same 2.27% for thrice, foursies, or however much you want to run it.

You can't win the whole pot running it twice with 1 out. You can only win half the pot. You can only win 1/3 pot running it thrice with 1 out.
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