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Old 08-18-2007, 06:34 PM
spivey spivey is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 1,645
Default Re: 100nl - bottom set faces hudge donkbet

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readless im shoving here, and hopping that villain is a really bad player w/78, 99+, air. My read on this bet is trying to scare out the naked As/ buy. You've got equity against made hands, there are hands you beat, and maybe fold equity although this probably isn't large.

That said if there was ever a board to fold bottom set to an overbet from an unknown, this is it. If we were both deep folding would probably be the smaller mistake.

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There's nothing beating us that will fold. So what FE do we have? As you said, villain is playing like he doesn't want a spade to hit. I don't think we beat much besides 87. Seems unlikely a villain would play 99 or 98 like this. Much more likely it's a baby flush, straight, all 2 pair combos, or a set I would think.

I'm sure I'd push in a game, but after thinking about it, I think if you've been at a table a little bit with him and havent' seen him do anything really weird like this, a fold is probably correct.
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