Re: Hero folds?
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if you're up against 3 gutshots that's around 26% in cumulative equity.
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And if 3 gutshots overcall the potsize has nearly doubled. Risking losing 4BB 26% of the time vs. winning 3BB 74% of the time sounds like a good deal to me.
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if your raise mangages to fold another ace you gain the equity of 2 king outs, 4 queen outs and 2 ace outs(that's 17% equity).
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Except you don't lose the entire pot against those hands so it's functionally more like half that.
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if your raise folds out a pp, a gutshot and another ace you've gained their 30% in equity
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At the expense of 3BB! That's a lot compared to what you're protecting. And that's assuming more than one of the opponents behind you is even drawing live, often they're not.
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on the flip side, planning on folding to a 3bet is giving up 5% of your equity the times your against trips or a FH.
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There's also a non-negligible chance you get 3bet by an A that sucks at poker.
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when the pot gets a certain size, it is more to your benefit to win it immediately
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Agree but if you think 4-6BB is worth protecting from 2 and 4 outers you need to rethink your math.
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