Re: Mike Bloomberg Bodog prop.
I agree with those who say that it's -EV based on the Bodog factor.
However, on the bet, 19% is Perot's number. And the voters weren't serious back then, it was no big deal to throw your vote away. In 2008, there is no way that 19% of the electorate would throw their vote away on Bloomberg if he had no chance of winning.
|