Re: #3 pick in FF draft
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I'd like to take a big RB here, then another RB on the way back... love Brady to up his total by a lot this year... Palmer will be back also. Manning will come down by a little, I think.
All of that jibberish above means I think you should take two RBs, then a guy like Brady/Palmer/Bulger/Brees in Rd 3
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Manning was about average last year (for him). While he could decline, his possible decline will be less than his possible upside. If that makes sense.
Also in a league like this Brady/Palmer/Bulger/Brees will all be gone be the third. However, there will be a ton of valuable running backs and you could easily end up with two stud backs in the first two rounds even picking third. And you could easily end up with a stud wideout coming back in the third. Stacking your team like this and ending up with a Cutler/Leinart/Kitna in the 5th is much more profitable and adds less variance to your team.
I think Manning's value in a league like this is probably the 7th or 8th pick.
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