Re: Oop semibluff late in NL $109
I failed to take into account that he called your PF raise with only 15 BBs. I think his calling range is tighter than you listed. I can see the average villian calling with AJs or KQs, but I think he jams with AQ, JJ/TT and most jam 99/88 too. Also, I think you should include AA/KK/QQ in his calling range, even if discounted.
Anyway, I don't know that my pre-flop range is any more accurate than yours. Assuming your pre-flop range is correct, I don't think he bets all these hands the same way. He's more likely to jam the AQ/AJ draws and check behind with 99/88. His 6k bet tilts his holdings towards a made hand of jacks or better.
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