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Old 08-14-2007, 04:12 AM
HelixTrix HelixTrix is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: i ain\'t got my taco
Posts: 82
Default Re: Oop semibluff late in NL $109

Well I was going to leave it but as I'm not going to be up for much longer tonight I'll go ahead and give you the range I put him on because it does change things. To call but not reraise in EP I put him on:

AQ, AJs, KQs, JJ-88

Now out of that range the hands that always call are KQs, JJ and TT (9/35), against which my equity is 25%, meaning I lose 6000. When he folds I win 14800. Personally I would fold AQ and AJs most of the time because the A would be a dirty out. 99 and 88 I think pretty much always fold. The analysis is complicated because it's hard to know how many hands he bets and how many of the weaker hands he calls with, but given I have decent equity against the weaker hands when he does call with them, it's hard to believe I don't make back more than 6k equity.
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