Re: Soccer - Correct Score > Winner?
Well, 1-0 and 2-1 are the most common scores in a win/loss situation. The margin of victory can't really be applied to this problem as 3-2 and all unquoted (5-4) are also being accounted for whereas 1-0 isn't. To me it seems just as if you're
1. betting on team X to win
AND
2. betting on team X to win
a) not 1-0 ... money back
b) not 2-1 ... worse odds than straight ML
I think this will definitely be a game of negative expectation in soccer.
PS: For betfair you'd also include at least 2%, but more realistically between 4% and 5% commission, thus reducing your odds and effectively profitability on your system ... sucks, I know.
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