Thread: Pitching Probabilities
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Old 08-10-2007, 05:57 PM
prohornblower prohornblower is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
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Default Re: Pitching Probabilities
Maybe what I can do is take the top 30 (starting) pitchers from last year in terms of ERA+ to find the ace, and take pitchers 31-60 in ERA+ to get the #2 guy, and then just mirror the numbers about the 50% "axis" to project how bad the #4 and #5 guys are?

EDIT: I've already thought of a bug. ERA+ takes into account relievers, so the average starters ERA+ may be more like 102 or so. Crap.
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