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Old 08-10-2007, 11:08 AM
ILuvRiver ILuvRiver is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 137
Default Re: Poker RNG Predictor, wtf?

[ QUOTE ]
OK guys, lets say I developed a program, 'Amazing RNG Predictor 9000', that picks three random card ranks out of nowhere.

How often will one or more of those cards appear in your hole cards or on board in a Hold'em game?

Correct me if my maths is wrong, but I basically see that you have seven chances to catch one or more of twelve cards. To work out the exact percentage, I'm going to work out the probability of missing seven times in a row then subtract it from one:

40/52 * 39/51 * 38/50 * 37/49 * 36/48 * 35/47 * 34/46
= 13.9%

So, the probability that if you pick three ranks of cards, at least one will appear in your hole cards or on the board is a whopping 86.1%. Hardly surprising, since your 'prediction' involves choosing almost a quarter of the deck.

This fundamental principle is the basis to these programs. They don't interact with the RNG in any way at all. They are, simply put, complete scams.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'll give you $10,000 for it [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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