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Old 08-09-2007, 01:26 PM
chillywater8 chillywater8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 130
Default Re: 1/2 NL with 100 max buy in.

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I think a $10-15 win rate(1/2NL 100

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Not true, a slightly below average player will lose money (and quite a bit of it). [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

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To clarify, at $4 rake and 30 hands per hour, an average player is losing $12 an hour. A slightly below average player loses $15 an hour, not wins $15 an hour.

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I called myself "slightly below average" because that is the overall level of player I believe I am. I have very few doubts I can continue to make 10-15+ at 1/2 NL 100 max Live in South FL and as I improve perhaps more. I am a winning 25NL player(75k hands) and a losing 50NL player(5k hands)(on pokerstars 6max) also a loser at MTT's overall, this is where I base my opinion of my level of play. [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]
My stratagy is play pretty nitty, I limp alot on BTN and CO with hands like 79s 89os J7s, I try to limp with any pair 88 and under in most spots and look for a set. I bet big pairs heavy enough to not give any sets odds at all to the callers(while i'm at my 100 stack). I play AK, AQ, AJ suited or not, KQs 99 TT very carefully, I do not overplay these cards OOP. Once I stack up to 200+ I try to play a more TAG game, but forget stealing blinds 95% of the time, because they will call.

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Your a "slightly below average" player and you plan on making $15 an hour in Florida cash games????????????

First off, how many NO LIMIT holdem players in Florida do you believe are going to have produced a winning amount of over $10 an hour after 500+ hours of play? The percentage is going to be considerably low.

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Let me put it this way, I think one of my better assets as a poker player is the fact that I don't overestimate my abilities. 90% of the players I'm up against believe they are great players and it hurts their play clearly. I know I have alot to learn about poker and try to spend as much time learning about poker as playing(I'm striving towards that anyhow). Compared to the players at the South FL casinos I'm not "slightly below average" at all, not what I meant, I was more comparing myself to people who take the game seriously at some level. As far as making $15 an hour playing these games, I have alot of confidence I can attain a rate very close to that over the next 500 hours. "how many will make 10+ over the next 500 hours?" "what %?" I don't know but I'd be happy to make a side bet with I'm one of them in spite of my slightly below average though improving every day abilities [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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