[cowpig]

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ok but A8s OTB with an early position limper fish is like the nuts

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No, it's actually not.

I'd fold that as a fairly standard thing.
Your equity at the start of a 10-handed SNG is 1/10th (obviously)

However, if, on the first hand, you bust someone out and take their chips, your equity does not double. This essentially a function of the payout structure. Incidentally, the same thing happens in a MTT, but because the final table is so far away typically, it's not so pronounced.

There's some mathematics on here somewhere which shows that you need around a 55:45 edge when flipping for stacks for it to be even neutral EV.

While, of course, you're not flipping for stacks here, you are increasing the chance of a showdown by playing the hand. Thus, you need more than it to just be +cEV.



I think I have a VPIP of around 5-7% for the first couple of levels in SNGs. This is not particularly unusual amongst winning players.

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You are decreasing your ROI by folding in +EV spots. Your chips don't decrease in value THAT much.