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Old 08-07-2007, 07:27 PM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 10,661
Default Re: SNG bubble, donk call IMO

Well he's right if the short dude doubles through the big stack. You are all going to outlast each other and drive your equity straight into the ground (~16.7%) while the big stack pushes every hand and cleans up. No way your equity is 27% if you fold and it's going to be more then 38.6% if you call and win. Should you call? I have no idea since it depends on how well you play & how well they play.

I'm tempted to just take a day and do a simulation for this situation but there is no way that calling is a 1.5% mistake. It might be a mistake but not a very big one or it might be a huge winfall.

Put another way...I fully expect to get called by AQs in this situation and it doesn't bother me one bit.
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