Re: Folding river when pot is big and i have to pay only 1BB
SUPER GRUNCH
PF: Although AQo is a very strong hand, IMO it is not strong enough to call a pf cap from a TAG villain. You should fold for the two extra bets. The odds of you being dominated are really severe here.
Flop: This is incredibly f'ed up. I can't think of a legitimate capping hand that a TAG SB should be checking here (I cap all of four hands pf: QQ+ and AK). So he's either flopped a monster and has decided to get silly, or he capped an illegitimate hand like AT, AQ, JJ or TT. I would proceed with caution, but when it's checked to you I think you have to bet into a big pot here. The pot is large, so I want to try to win it. I also don't want to give free cards that could give a two pair.
Turn: You now have two pair and no show of strength from anyone. This is a must bet, IMO.
River: Villain has played this so strangely that I'm inclied to call. 13.5:1 pot odds helps, too. It seems awfully likely that villain has JJ here that he decided to call down from the flop, but I'm willing to take the odds that villain had AT and called his GSSD or has AQ. I'm especially confused that villain did not c/r the river if he hit the straight, but he may have been worried that it got checked through. Bottom line -- pot is large, I have a strong hand; I call.
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