Re: 100NL How to play a few BIG draws....
Minraise makes me waffle, but tbh i dont really know what hand is calling the flop and thrn betting the turn other then
1) hes trying to float you out of position
2) he picked up a draw (unlikely given his pf stats)
3) is protecting an AJ type of hand (meh)
4) has teh goods (AA KK)
This looks like a float, calling then betting a pretty nuetral card. Maybe he has a TT type of hand, but prob would of checked it to be honest, i see this option as a decent chance.
Draw doesnt really make sense unless he raised KQ as yourself, in which case he isnt calling a push.
AJ somewhat makes sense, he liked his hand on the flop but not a lot, now he still has tptk and is firing off a bet, i think this is likely.
i dont think this is AA/KK, i dont see him calling the minraise without repopping.
So in summary, probably AJ, possibly a draw, possibly an overpair, and perhaps a TT/JJ set. Its not a 22/66 set from his pfr raise numbers, and only an overpair is calling your all in. (Also somewhat unlikely cause you have a K and a Q).
Cliffnotes, have fold equity, a very strong draw, and his story doesnt make sense. Shovament.
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