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Old 08-05-2007, 10:57 AM
MiltonFriedman MiltonFriedman is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Waaay down below
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Default Re: Impending Regulations/Reality Check,

"Epassporte surviving is possible due to the non handling of sportsbetting and casino gambling.
Possibly one or two of the major sites will close to the US.'

Fair analysis generally, except that the likelihood of BOTH your above sentences coming about bare close to zero.

IF ePassporte were to get a "pass" under the Regs., about a 1% chance, and the "pass" was due to a poker only status, then it would be Christmas in August. However, that is NOT going to happen.

Epassporte MAY get a pass, functionally, if it is exempted as an EFT/wallet provider from offshore. I'd say about a 3% chance.

As for one or more major rooms closing to US players, I'd say about a 80% chance, even if the Regs are beatable thru an offshore EFT/wallet provider.

On the bright side, I think you are wrong about the market being underserved. Anyone who is a "pro" will be motivared enough to find the way to play and there will be venues online to play. IF players want to play, there will be one or more sites available, with both US and foreign players .... The problem has always been the accessibility of sites to US casual players and the heavy dependence of "favorite" poker sites on the US market. THAT segment may die.

In three years, the drought will be over and the US market will again be accessible to the casual player, with US approved brands.
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