Thread: hypothetical
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Old 08-05-2007, 01:54 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 4,515
Default Re: hypothetical

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If you play ONE sng - doing nothing else- I don't see how it possible to not make the money.

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Try it, and you'll see. If you can make the money 80% of the time in a 10 player $215 tournament, you will make more than $100/hour, very safely, and have a ROI people can't sustain at $5 SNGs.

Maybe you have the idea of playing tightly, letting the other players knock each other out, perhaps stealing some blinds but not risking your whole stack. That's also the plan of five of your opponents, and at most half of you will make the money.

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On the weekend when I am rested I play more MTT's. I'd easily be ITM 80% of the time.

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Your actual stats say 21%, and you jump to 80% being possible? You need to double up or the equivalent about 3 times to survive the bubble with a slightly below average stack. No one knows how to do that half of the time, and if you did, the resulting ROI would be fantastic.
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