[DespotInExile]

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there are many top pair type hands that might be in play that will call a river bet.

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66 or 44, which are hands that might bet this turn AND call a river bet

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I dont think these hands call the river bet, even though the pot is large, where they have been checkraised on the turn by the preflop capper. Not in a live 30/60.

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A 5 or a boat becomes significantly less likely once we do not get three-bet on the turn.

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I guess this is true.