Re: $16: Big stack battle with AK
The trouble is that I believe this situation is +cEV without being +$EV.
If I fold, my equity is $43.18.
If I call and win, my equity is $57.73.
If I call and lose, my equity is $26.55.
My combined equity if I call is found in the following equation:
(%win)($win) + (%lose)($lose) = $EV
(0.513)(57.73) + (0.487)(26.55) = $42.55
So you'll note that my expectation from a call is lower than my expectation from a fold. So unless I think that villain is pushing AJ or worse, I need to fold in this spot. I think AKs would be a very narrow call.
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