Re: 50NL equity checkup
You're normally 28% to hit the FH if you have a set on the flop. You're getting 2:1, which is roughly 33% so you don't quite have the odds IF you are sure he has the flush.
Once you add in hands like 44, AhQ this makes the call about break even.
If it is -EV then it isn't by much. I probably raise to $20, this means he makes a bigger error if he calls with the flush draw, and makes it a better call for you if he pushes. (Better as in you have better odds, and the call is then clearly +EV)
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