Re: River decision with toppair
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If you are betting you are probably losing money from that single bet because he is calling more often with an overpair then A-high (I think).
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I wonder if you have his range a little tight here. I know he is tight, but his PFR stat isn't extremely low. He should relise that you could/should be raising light PF and could/should 3-bang you accordingly. So I'm wondering if he could hold a pair lower than 8 (jack kicker) by the river. Heh, probably not I guess. Obv pocket sevens most likely if that's the case. Meh, a small amount of time I reckon this guy will have a pair smaller than eights.
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