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Old 07-30-2007, 09:26 PM
VoraciousReader VoraciousReader is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: 11-1 and still proud
Posts: 12,449
Default Re: Average Speed XVII Game Thread

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Think about it. There are 5 wolves and 2 seers in this game.

Vanillagers don't generally claim when they are being lynched. So when someone claims, they are 5/7 wolf and only 2/7 seer. Killing the claimants is +EV.

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Umm.. VR? Think about what happens you don't lynch a seer. You waste wolf NK (which is awesome) and lets you get an extra confirmed villager.

When you don't lynch a wolf, the downside is that you have to lynch a wolf the next day. This downside is not even close to as big as the upside of an extra confirmed villager.

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Meh. I think there is altogether too much claiming recently.

In DN claimants that claim their actual role will probably be modkilled.

kill seer....I mean lastchance
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