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Old 07-30-2007, 01:19 PM
Michaelson Michaelson is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 1,343
Default Re: 200nl, wierd spot with rivered trips

[ QUOTE ]
You're asking yourself the wrong question here...

The correct questions are:

If I raise, which worse hands will call?
Will he fold a better six?

The answers are likely none and no, therefore calling is probably best. You can be pretty sure that he'll only call a reraise with hands that crush you here. You're priced in to call here, especially if you think he can do this with a jack, so call.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree in general, but no one ever folds trips, and some trips have lower kickers than a 9, so I think there are hands we beat that can call a re-raise here. I also think that 56/67 (along with A6) are more likely to open limp in the CO than T6 or Q6. 46/86 are somewhat likely open limping hands as well, but they probably bet earlier in the hand.

Anyway, my point is that I think here it's somewhat close between the hands that we beat and call, and the hands that beat us. The real problem with raising, in my view, is re-opening up the betting, cause I don't want to be bet off my hand by some spanker who open limps in the cutoff and overvalues 56 in this spot.
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