[gsaj18]

This is a very interesting bet...I say if Barack Obama ISNT th e democratic bid, and bloomberg runs, itll be over 18.8%...

I believe this simply because more than ever people simply HATE politicians (aka corrupt, stupid etc.)...Obama (in my opinion) will end up getting the bid and winning the election simply because he is not a "politician"...

If the democratic bid for president goes other ways (somehow-i cant c them winning if barack isnt their bid), then I can completely see bloomberg taking 18.8% of the vote as he is less of a "political" figure...

Itd be interesting to c how this bet changes as the presidential campaign progresses and if he does run for president.

Anyways, right now, I'd make the under bet because I see Barack winning the democratic bid and if that happens I don't see Bloomberg getting over 18.8%