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Old 07-27-2007, 03:04 PM
RandomUser RandomUser is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 678
Default Re: S8/b - is it time to say uncle?

I double checked BBB's calculations and they are correct for 5th street making it a marginal call. The key is the reraise on 3rd street. Without that extra BB in the pot, it becomes a fold on 5th.

.54*1.33-.46*2=-.20

On 6th street, it is an easy call (7 outs to a low, 5 outs to a non-low flush, 4 outs to a low+flush and probably scoop). Villain might end up with a higher flush and/or better low, but I think those balance out the times where hero makes a flush and Villain has no low).

.19*2.83+.14*2.83+.11*5.83-.56*1=+1.02

And that number is probably too low considering you'd probably raise on any club.
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