Re: 5/10 AKs turn line
Ok, lemme preface by saying that I'm a uNL player...but hear me out, please.
The more I look at this, the more the CRAI seems to be the best line. Button's effective stack is only $970 preflop. Therefore, if we bet and villain raises, he has priced himself into calling an all-in, therefore we have little to no FE. Where as if we ck, villain, even with a PSB, gives us enough FE that we can crai and make up the equity, since we only need 15-20% FE to make this neutral EV.(we have 35% equity if all our club, A, and K outs are clean and 30% if only A and clubs are clean, assuming he doesn't have the straight)
Not to mention that villain might check behind, which is not a horrible outcome either. But by betting, we put ourselves in a precarious spot if villain raises.
Checking the turn very well could represent a CB and giving up, so that villain will fire with a wider range than what he'd call a bet with.
Thoughts?
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