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You can never know what will make you truly happy.
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Daniel Gilbert agrees with you.
Saw him on the Colbert report about a month ago.
He's a professor of psychology at Harvard.
Here he is giving a 22 minute lecture about happiness.
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yeah, you should read his book "Stumbling on Happiness". It's terrific. Basically about how ineffective humans are at understanding how future events will affect their happiness.