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Old 07-23-2007, 01:21 PM
BarryLyndon BarryLyndon is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 2,590
Default Re: $11r.. I think I should squeeze here

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The prob w/ squeezing here is that you're against an opponent who doesn't like folding PF. Your squeeze loses a lot of value just from that.

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The FE lost is compensated by the fact that he calls with a much wider range. I mean, it's difficult to see how calling is going to have a greater expectation than MP1 folding a lot and MP3 calling with 66+, AJ+, KQ+.

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There is another problem with the "prob. squeezing" analysis here - there is a difference between calling an RR to see a flop and calling an RAI with KJo and a bunch of other overcards which he would simply call PF with. You have more FE than you think when pushing.

You still get him to make a mistake when he folds J10 or KQ while you protect what is likely the best hand against overs + win a nice pot. MP1 is just "bad," so if he calls with AJ or AQ or a bunch of hands of this ilk (the upper tier overcards), you are getting wonderful odds here and really shouldn't be passing up on this opportunity. As to the squeeze - go for it!

Barry
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