Re: Number of players dealt in affecting flush draws?
Going back to the beginning, I see that I've used some of your figures where I shouldn't have done.
Let's simplify it by considering the odds of getting one heart pre-flop.
Method 1 - There are 11 hearts in 50 cards yielding p = .22
Method 2 - There are 8.8 hearts in 40 cards yielding p = .22
You can follow it on from there but you can see that if you added 5 more players you would have 6.6 hearts in 30 cards which is also p = .22
When the first card of the flop is dealt:
Method 1, there are 10.78 (11 - 0.22)/49 = .22
Method 2, there are 8.58 (8.8 - 0.22)/39 = .22
And so on.
|