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Old 07-21-2007, 05:49 AM
Psy_Mike Psy_Mike is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 384
Default Number of players dealt in affecting flush draws?

I posted a similiar question in mid stakes, but it died out when I asked this follow up question. So I'll give it a shot here.

When you have a flush draw you usually count it as you have 9 outs out of 47 unseen cards, on the flop.

What if we would do it the other way around and discount cards. So in a 6 handed game, you are dealt 2 hearts. On average 3 hearts are dealt pre-flop in a 6 handed game. When the flop comes with 2 hearts we should therefor on average have 8 outs out of 37 cards that are left in the deck yes?

First question is: 8/37 != 9/47
Where is the error? Should they not work out to be the same? Which is correct?

I thought it would work out the same, but according to the 8/37 method the likelihood of you hitting your flush is dependent on the amount of players dealt in.

Which method is more correct, and why is one not correct?
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