Re: 1-2 commerce hand
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The other thing to consider towards playing the hand a little more straight forward is any card 6 or higher either completes a straight or puts trips on board which may cause Russ to hesitate and not bet the river, thus losing you at least one bet....Of course on the flip side, you can change your action based on a river card that you dont like either.
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Thats definitly the biggest problem with this plan. The river has to come 2,3,4,5,6,J, for me to know he will bet 100% of the time and pay off a raise which im sure of on both. The problem with checkraising the turn is I dont want 4 bets to go in on the big streets when i'm behind and possibly only 1 or 2 going in when im ahead. I think Russ views me as so straightforward that he might fold a hand like A8. I know if I play it the other way I get 3 bets from A8.
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