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Old 07-18-2007, 07:33 PM
Slim Pickens Slim Pickens is offline
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Default Re: Rainkhan and the 33 versus Alex Kravchenko

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Slim can you calculate how much pot equity the BB needs to call.

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Specifically, we need the following probabilities, all of which depend on hand ranges. I'm ignoring split pots.

<ul type="square">[*]Rhame scoops if he calls[*]Rhame loses the main and wins the side if he calls[*]Khan beats Kravchenko if Rahme folds[/list]
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The last one is pretty easy.

Given the loose range you want to put Khan on, that would be about 60/40 in favor of Khan. With the tighter range I suggested, it would be more like 65/35. In both cases I'm putting Alex on approx. a 40% range. Overall experimenting with several ranges I get results from 55%-65% in favor of Khan, so maybe 60/40 is ok to use here.

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Well yeah, then you just plug in the equity numbers from my previous posts for all the different possible outcomes. My point is you can't solve the three-handed problem the way we did for the two-handed problem, where we just used prize pool equities and calculated how much pot equity Khan needs to make a call break even.
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