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Old 07-18-2007, 07:13 PM
GotQuads GotQuads is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 181
Default Re: Rainkhan and the 33 versus Alex Kravchenko

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Slim can you calculate how much pot equity the BB needs to call.

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Specifically, we need the following probabilities, all of which depend on hand ranges. I'm ignoring split pots.

<ul type="square">[*]Rhame scoops if he calls[*]Rhame loses the main and wins the side if he calls[*]Khan beats Kravchenko if Rahme folds[/list]
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The last one is pretty easy.

Given the loose range you want to put Khan on, that would be about 60/40 in favor of Khan. With the tighter range I suggested, it would be more like 65/35. In both cases I'm putting Alex on approx. a 40% range. Overall experimenting with several ranges I get results from 55%-65% in favor of Khan, so maybe 60/40 is ok to use here.
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