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Old 07-18-2007, 08:47 AM
Heron Heron is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 89
Default Re: i think this is really close

For the river bet to have any value it should be almost certain that he will make a crying call with kings up. (I don't think he has two aces.)

If he has a K he's bound to have also a 2. Otherwise he would have played the hand differently. Since you both have an ace and the fourth card doesn't matter much in this case we only need to look at two card combos.

When you get called, you'll win against K2 combos (9) and lose to 36 and 39 combos (6). Otherwise it's a chop.

If this is correct and it's really that close it cannot be right to bet out when the river brings a Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
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