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Of course the media is biased and favors the frontrunners
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At this point it's not just frontrunners --- it's anyone who has a chance in hell. Paul doesn't.
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The sportsbooks seem to disagree with you. I've seen him anywhere from 15-1 to 7-1 against. My wife mentioned seeing 5-1 against, but I haven't been able to find that.
sportsbook.com has him at 15-1.
http://www.sportsbook.com/sportsbook/livelines.php