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Old 07-15-2007, 12:25 PM
TarHeel100 TarHeel100 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Tobacco Road
Posts: 380
Default Re: TPTK heads up with many draws

I think the flop raise is fine, but I'm not capping this flop. BB looks to be fairly passive, so he's not 3-betting you without at least top pair.

I actually ran this on pokerstove and put in a Villain range of AKs, AKo, AJs, AJo, and KQs-K9s and KQo-K9o because he is betting like he has at least top pair. I figured if he had AA, KK, QQ, JJ, or TT he probably would have defended his blind with a 3-bet so I didn't include those. Even if you include JJ or TT though you still have a slight edge of 1%-3%.

Turns out your equity vs. that range on this flop is approx. 52%, so you may have a tiny edge here, but given how coordinated the board is you could also be pretty far behind. With a possible edge that tiny, I think I just call the flop 3-bet and re-evaluate on the turn.

I think the turn and river are fine.
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