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Old 07-13-2007, 04:29 PM
binions binions is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Toronto, CA
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Default Re: exact odds at the Gold/Binger/Wasicka hand...

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So how should one calculate odds ??


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With a draw with 2 cards to come, you figure out 1 minus the chance of missing the draw = chance of hitting the draw. For a 15 out draw:

1 - (30/45 * 29/44) = 1 - .439 = .561 or 56.1% to hit the draw.

Your original method overcounted the times you hit your draw on both the turn and the river.
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