Re: bet sizes to maximize profits, and minimize losses (intresting)
Assuming you're heads-up, the half-pot suggestion has merit on the flop:
On the flop, with implied odds for (at least) half-pot raising again on the turn if the draw misses, a half-pot raise works out to being a break-even choice for the opponent looking for around 12-13 outs - this is a super-strong drawing hand like a straight/flush draw where your opponent can respond to just about any raise by going all-in rather than calling. (And, in fact, fold equity suggests that opponent should do so most of the time.)
Thus, a raise of half-pot against a draw makes calling an incorrect move. The possibility of bluffing, negative implied odds, and the potential for 'false' scare cards suggest the ideal raise may be a bit stiffer.
Because there is only one card to come, there is much less value to going all-in on the turn with a draw. As a consequence, the correct bet against a draw is probably going to be a bit larger than pot.
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