Re: Mistakes? I think so. How many?
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If it's a 14.5BB pot you're assuming that it gets capped. You are putting in 4 bets out of 30.5. If you're gunning for just kings that's 4 outs and should have about 10.5:1 odds.
30.5:4 = 7.625:1 < 10.5:1. Insufficient odds if you count all 4 Kings as outs. Under your assumptions this is a fold.
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If u exept that will be cap at turn shouldn't you count just opponents BB (you add also your 4 BB)?
so then will be:
(30.5-4):4 = 6.6:1 < 10.5:1
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