Re: River Bluff
[ QUOTE ]
Both because it makes his turn check thru even more suspicious (when LAGs do that it so often means a monster), and because you face the possibility of a river raise whether he's got something or not.
[/ QUOTE ]
i agree his turn check is either a monster or complete air.
while my equity versus his range would be better if i checkraised, i think it is offset by the benefits of it not checking through.
as far as the river raise goes, say we assume he raises it 50% with the nuts and 50% as a bluff. that's basically a zero expectation situation because i win as much as i lose so it can really be disregarded. if you disagree, what do you think we could assign as reasonable %'s to his bluffing frequency? it's obviously too high.
|