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Old 07-04-2007, 01:10 PM
Acevader Acevader is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 614
Default Semi-bluff defence strategy

I've been thinking a little about defending marginal hands against semi-bluffs and attempts to gain a free card.

I'll make up a theoretical example (with reads) and talk you through my latest defense technique. It's probably entirely standard to a lot of you but I thought I should check that this isn't an error in my thinking.

Say you have an ok tag image and raise QdQh from a middle position finding one caller on the button. Villain is 22/18/3 and is generally a solid player who you believe wins at this level.

The flop is 10h,7c,2h and you continuation bet 2/3rd pot. Villain makes a standard raise.

I find this to be a very marginal situation. If you come over the top you basically say I have Ah,Kh an overpair or a set. You very much give away the strength of your hand and I believe villain will fold A10 and maybe JJ type of hands and look you up with 2p or better. A push is therefore not likely to be called by inferior hands enough to justify making it, and if villain has semi-bluffed the hearts he won't call without the right price.

However, a fold here seems equally weak right? I mean, we expect villain not to have AA-JJ here that often for he'd 3-bet preflop and he's unlikely to have two pair. Thus we expect to see a set, a semi-bluff or pure air here quite a bit.

My thinking is that we call this flop raise and lead pretty much any safe turn for 2/3rd+ pot. If a heart, a 6 or a J come we must exercise caution as they complete heart-draw and 89-draw, but otherwise we lead out.

This protects us against villain peeling a free card and also charges an unfavorable price for a draw. It also acts as a value bet against the likes of A10 and JJ and against this player will usually shut down the pot if he's on a draw (but we can live with a call as we've priced him out). As a bonus the bet gives us information since any raise is surely from a hand that crushes QQ and we can fold with a clear mind as opposed to the alternative which may be to call two streets to showdown.

What are your thoughts on this line and can you offer better strategies or think of any other contexts in which to use it.

What about doing this if say you raised A9s and the flop was 10,9,4 with two hearts. Here the same call raise lead turn action achieves the same result but also has value bluff properties in that villain may call the turn with draws or inferior hands but may also fold 10x. Thoughts.
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