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Old 07-02-2007, 11:23 AM
+EV +EV is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: In the fade
Posts: 278
Default Re: AA vs TAG facing river shove

[ QUOTE ]
Villain is 15/10 after a few hundred hands. He is either bluffing or has a monster, but am I ahead here enough to call?

Ultimate Bet - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $25.09
BB: $28.98
Hero (UTG): $28.86
MP: $7.44
CO: $106.15
BTN: $47.55

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $1.00</font>, MP folds, CO calls $1.00, BTN calls $1.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($3.35) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $2.50</font>, CO calls $2.50, BTN folds

Turn: ($8.35) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $5.50</font>, Hero calls $5.50

River: ($19.35) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets all-in for $97.15</font>

Hero ?

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think there is any way this is a bluff and if would have to be about 80% of the time for you to call so fold. You are behind about 90% of the time here.

+EV
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