Re: Are you hitting your sets?
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AA has the lowest set:flop ratio (by quite a bit, too - 14:1 against)
[/ QUOTE ]You might expect this - you're more likely to see a flop when the remaining Aces have been dealt to other players, so you're less likely to flop a set with Aces. Not sure how big this effect is.
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This logic is incorrect. Even if any other A always calls and any other 5 always folds, then there will be the exact same number of dead aces and dead fives when AA or 55 respectively see a flop (in a perfectly normal distribution).
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oops. Could you clarify this please? The ratio is how often you hit a set when you see a flop, so I see what you're saying, but...
It seems to me that when someone is dealt aces, the likelihood of a flop decreases. In other words, people are more likely to see a flop if they have an ace. If that is true, when you are dealt aces and there is a flop, it's still more likely that someone else has an ace if they are willing to see the flop.
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