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Old 06-27-2007, 10:11 PM
raistlinx raistlinx is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,747
Default Re: Variance in poker: Living with the Beast

A couple of people now have commented on the STDDEV being off so I thought I would do another graph.

Even if we change the STDDEV to 40 ptBB/100 insane things can happen. This is the 5ptBB/100 player over 6,500 hands.

http://www.celticchef.com/poker/files/badrun2.jpg

I'm not trying to say this extreme swings are likely to happen, only possible. The initial post was meant to say "hey, if you are running bad over a few 1000 hands, don't immediately think you suck and if you run crazy hot over a few 1000 hands don't come to the forums thinking you are God's gift to poker" [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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