Re: Can I win $30/hour playing 25NL?
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Sure, a 6-10 BI downswing can occur, but so can a 6-10 BI upswing. That's why we're doing the maths isn't it? You can't insist on analysing the numbers, and then complain that the numbers don't take a downswing into account. Of course they do!
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Any 6-10 buyin downswings in you sample? No? Then no, it doesn't.
Its like measuring earthquakes for a month, coming up with an average, and then saying that that average takes into account a 100-year event, even though there were no "big ones" in your sample.
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There's a two-and-a-half buy-in downswing
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Besides, 6-10 BI downswings aren't "rare events" in the same way as massive earthquakes. The most you can lose on any one hand is your stack.
A big 10BI downswing is made up of a number of smaller losses, which are all accounted for in the statistics.
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